Tuesday, 21 October 2014

A Level Math statistics 2

1. The Poisson distribution

2. Linear combinations of random variables

  • Linear combinations of random variables
  • use, in the course of solving problems, the results that
    E(aX + b) = aE(X) + b and Var(aX + b) = a2Var(X) ,
    E(aX + bY) = aE(X) + bE(Y),
    Var(aX + bY) = a2Var(X) + b2Var(Y) for independent X and Y,
    if X has a normal distribution then so does aX + b ,
    if X and Y have independent normal distributions then aX + bY has
    a normal distribution,
    if X and Y have independent Poisson distributions then X + Y has a
    Poisson distribution.

3. Continuous random variables

4. Sampling and estimation

  • Simple random sampling
  • What is a statistic?
  • Sampling distribution of the sample mean
  • Sampling distribution of the mode and median
  • Exam Questions
  • understand the distinction between a sample and a population, and
    appreciate the necessity for randomness in choosing samples;
  • explain in simple terms why a given sampling method may be
    unsatisfactory (knowledge of particular sampling methods, such as
    quota or stratified sampling, is not required, but candidates should
    have an elementary understanding of the use of random numbers in
    producing random samples);
  • recognise that a sample mean can be regarded as a random
    variable,and use the facts that E(sample mean ) = μ and that Var(sample mean)= σ2/n
  • use the fact that the sample mean has a normal distribution if X has a normal
    distribution
  • use the Central Limit theorem where appropriate;
  • calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance
    from a sample, using either raw or summarised data (only a simple
    understanding of the term ‘unbiased’ is required);
  • determine a confidence interval for a population mean in cases where
    the population is normally distributed with known variance or where a
    large sample is used;
  • determine, from a large sample, an approximate confidence interval
    for a population proportion.

5. Hypothesis tests

Binomial Distribution
Poisson Distribution

  • formulate hypotheses and carry out a hypothesis test concerning the
    population mean in cases where the population is normally distributed
    with known variance or where a large sample is used;
  • understand the terms Type I error and Type II error in relation to
    hypothesis tests;
  • calculate the probabilities of making Type I and Type II errors in specific
    situations involving tests based on a normal distribution or direct
    evaluation of binomial or Poisson probabilities.

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