1. The Poisson distribution
Poisson Distribution
Continuity Corrections
Poisson Approximation to the Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation to the Poisson Distribution
2. Linear combinations of random variables
- Linear combinations of random variables
- use, in the course of solving problems, the results that
E(aX + b) = aE(X) + b and Var(aX + b) = a2Var(X) ,
E(aX + bY) = aE(X) + bE(Y),
Var(aX + bY) = a2Var(X) + b2Var(Y) for independent X and Y,
if X has a normal distribution then so does aX + b ,
if X and Y have independent normal distributions then aX + bY has
a normal distribution,
if X and Y have independent Poisson distributions then X + Y has a
Poisson distribution.
3. Continuous random variables
Probability Density Functions and Cumulative Distribution Functions
- What is a Probability Density Function (p.d.f,)?
- Finding the constant k in a p.d.f
- Calculating probability from a p.d.f. (this is over two intervals, you are only expected to go over a single interval but it shold still help)
- The cumulative distribution function, (c.d.f) (not necessarily expected)
- Finding the median from a p.d.f.
- Finding the mode from a p.d.f.
- E(X) and Var(X)
- Exam Questions
4. Sampling and estimation
- Simple random sampling
- What is a statistic?
- Sampling distribution of the sample mean
- Sampling distribution of the mode and median
- Exam Questions
- understand the distinction between a sample and a population, and
appreciate the necessity for randomness in choosing samples; - explain in simple terms why a given sampling method may be
unsatisfactory (knowledge of particular sampling methods, such as
quota or stratified sampling, is not required, but candidates should
have an elementary understanding of the use of random numbers in
producing random samples); - recognise that a sample mean can be regarded as a random
variable,and use the facts that E(sample mean ) = μ and that Var(sample mean)= σ2/n - use the fact that the sample mean has a normal distribution if X has a normal
distribution - use the Central Limit theorem where appropriate;
- calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance
from a sample, using either raw or summarised data (only a simple
understanding of the term ‘unbiased’ is required); - determine a confidence interval for a population mean in cases where
the population is normally distributed with known variance or where a
large sample is used; - determine, from a large sample, an approximate confidence interval
for a population proportion.
5. Hypothesis tests
- formulate hypotheses and carry out a hypothesis test concerning the
population mean in cases where the population is normally distributed
with known variance or where a large sample is used; - understand the terms Type I error and Type II error in relation to
hypothesis tests; - calculate the probabilities of making Type I and Type II errors in specific
situations involving tests based on a normal distribution or direct
evaluation of binomial or Poisson probabilities.
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